I’ve been lazy. I finally got around to creating a spreadsheet for the 2011 Brady and 2011 UCR data. I’ve started getting bored with this because it’s always the same. You can examine the spread sheet yourself, it’s linked at the bottom.
So first up is the overall scores plot.
You will notice the trend is basically flat with an R2 of 0.0014. It appears yet again the Brady score card criteria has no bearing on how safe or dangerous a state is. This R2 value is actually a decrease again from the previous comparison with the 2010 data.
Moving forward lets examine just the to 10 scores:
It’s flattened a bit more than the previous comparison. Again there is absolutely no real correlation. We’ll pack it down further to just all scores above 50. The calculated correlation was 0.0159.
A little better R2 value but still non-existent with a correlation of 0.54. Still showing absolutely no relation between the scores or crime.
Lastly we grabbed all states with a violent crime rate below 300 per 100k.
The average score in those states was 12.35 and again the correlation with scores was 0.38.
Yet again we see that the proposals by those who would deny us our rights have absolutely no bearing on safety or crime despite their claims. Facts and statistics prove them to be lying.
I am going to add two new graphs onto this plot though I’m going to continue thinking of a better way to plot them. First up is the Brady Score vs. the UCR trend in a state.
I did the same thing with how the Brady Scores changed between 2010 and 2012.
Neither had a correlation with each other, though I would like to expand the data set to include multiple years. I don’t think it’s worth the time though, no matter how you cut it, the Brady Score cards and the laws they argue for with it have no immediate relationship with violent crime rates.
I do like how that second graph helps shoot down the blood in the streets argument since there were numerous states that went to constitutional carry in 2011 as well as states gaining concealed carry.
You can get the spreadsheet here.